Unmuting Mount Lebanon’s Emergency: Understanding how Silent Diseases lead to Sudden Deaths
During the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic back in 2021, waking up to news of people passing away due to symptoms complications became the norm, but in the midst of the overwhelming news, one man’s story hit us hard. His name was Nader, a 46-year-old from Baabda, a man known for his loud laugh, strong coffee, and long Friday lunches with friends. We knew him as the “office guy”; he was in fact there for everyone, until the day when his lungs failed him. He caught COVID, the symptoms escalated quickly. Within days, his oxygen levels dropped, and despite being admitted to the hospital, the virus was already overpowering a weak cardiovascular system. Everyone was in shock, since Nader was just in his mid-40s, and we expected he’d beat the virus easily. But once the doctors informed us he didn’t make due to his overworked cardiovascular system, we understood it was beyond COVID-19, and not only Nader’s lungs have failed him, but a whole lifestyle and healthcare system.
This raised a bigger question for us: Which areas in Lebanon have unusually high levels of chronic disease that make its residents more at risk during crises? To explore this, we analyzed health data across governorates, focusing on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and hypertension (HTN). We first explored how the percentage of COVID-19 cases out of national totals was distributed, with Mount Lebanon leading in this area.
To understand further the extent of the health risk, we compared these chronic disease patterns to COVID cases in all Lebanese Governorates. What we saw flagged Mount Lebanon as a hight risk Governorate as it has the regions with the highest burden of CVD and HTN also recorded the highest COVID cases. This means that in these areas, the symptoms of COVID-19 will be exacerbated by the existing chronic disease, which leads to more complicates and higher hospitalization rates.
The highest-risk governorate being Mount Lebanon isn’t only about pandemic response. It’s about addressing the silent epidemic of chronic disease that makes future health crises even more dangerous. Based on our analysis, we believe it’s time to expand early screening programs, increase community-level hypertension detection, and strengthen preventive care. Preventative measures are needed so that the most vulnerable groups are able to cope with unprecedented health emergencies. If we focus on prevention now, we can reduce risk and help ensure that stories like Nader’s don’t repeat themselves.