The 2024 Israeli War on Lebanon:

A Devastating Blow to Agriculture and the Environment

Hadi Jaafar, PhD

Professor and Chair, Department of Agriculture, Faculty of Agricultural and Food Sciences, American University of Beirut, Lebanon

 

 

November 3, 2024

 

Satellite analysis reveals that wildfires in Lebanon’s south have burned over 10,800 hectares in 2024—an area four times larger than Beirut and ten times the annual average.

The 2024 Israeli war on Lebanon has inflicted catastrophic damage on the nation’s agricultural sector and environment, exceeding the destruction witnessed in previous wars. The repercussions extend beyond immediate human suffering, posing a severe threat to long-term food security and ecological resilience.

Widespread wildfires, exacerbated by intense air raids and potentially hampered firefighting capabilities, have ravaged swathes of southern Lebanon. Analysis of satellite imagery (Sentinel-2 and MODIS) reveals that over 10,800 hectares have been consumed by flames – an area four times larger than Beirut. This represents a tenfold increase compared to previous years’ fire damage. The southern governorates of Nabatiye and South Lebanon are disproportionately affected, with fires primarily impacting shrubland and grassland while also inflicting extensive damage on forested areas along the 120km southern border, penetrating up to 10km inwards in some areas.

Figure 1: Wildfire Impact in Lebanon (2006-2024) –  Data Source: European Forest Fire Information System

Shows the burned area (hectares) and number of fires in Lebanon, highlighting the dramatic surge in 2024 attributed to the conflict. Data sourced from the Copernicus Fire Information System.

Figure 2: Burnt Areas in South Lebanon (October 2024) – Data Source: European Forest Fire Information System

Illustrates the extent of fire damage in South Lebanon following Israeli airstrikes and ground incursions. Orange indicates areas burnt between October 24-31, blue represents areas burnt between October 1-24, and green represents areas typically burnt during the fire season. Data from the Copernicus Fire Information System, utilizing MODIS (250m resolution) and Sentinel-2 (20m resolution) satellite imagery.

Beyond the immediate destruction caused by fire, the agricultural sector faces unprecedented challenges. Damage to crops and orchards is compounded by the disruption of critical irrigation infrastructure. Satellite imagery and field reports document widespread damage to polyethylene irrigation pipes, leaving only brass valves intact and rendering vast tracts of farmland unusable.

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Figure 3: Impact on Avocado Orchard and Irrigation – Source: Author’s own sources

Depicts the on-the-ground destruction of an avocado orchard and its irrigation system in coastal South Lebanon, showcasing the direct impact of the conflict on agricultural livelihoods. Image A shows the burnt orchard, while image B shows the impacted fruits, and image C highlights the damaged irrigation system.

The olive harvest, a cornerstone of Lebanon’s agricultural economy (approximately 25% of agricultural land is dedicated to olive groves, primarily in the south), has been severely disrupted. IDF warnings against harvesting, tragically underscored by the reported death of an olive picker in the village of Sinai during an airstrike, have led to the abandonment of many orchards, resulting in significant economic losses. Lebanon exported $30 million USD worth of olive oil in 2016 (EU-funded study), and the southern region is known for producing some of the highest quality olive oil globally.

While current analysis using machine learning, remote sensing, and GIS techniques shows no significant reduction in irrigated agriculture in the Beqaa Valley, the prolonged conflict poses a threat to this crucial agricultural region. Disrupted export routes are already jeopardizing potato harvests (Lebanon exports over $20 million USD worth annually, mainly from the Beqaa), impacting both farmers’ livelihoods and market stability. The potential inability to plant winter cereals raises concerns about future food production and potential knock-on effects, including increased food prices and reliance on imports. The Beqaa valley is crucial for cereal production, with over 10,000 ha planted annually, producing more than 40,000 tons of wheat and reducing reliance on imports.

Figure 4: Changes in Agricultural Fields in the Beqaa Valley – Author’s own work

Displays agricultural fields in the Beqaa Valley. Red indicates fields planted in October 2023 but not in 2024, while blue indicates fields planted in October 2024 but not in 2023. The figure demonstrates that, at the time of analysis, no significant change in cultivated area was observed.

The scale of environmental destruction and agricultural disruption requires urgent international attention and intervention. Long-term recovery necessitates substantial investment extending beyond immediate humanitarian aid. A comprehensive strategy is needed to address infrastructure rebuilding, provide farmers with financial and technical support, and foster ecological rehabilitation. The lasting impact on Lebanon’s food security and environmental sustainability is significant and requires sustained international cooperation and support. Failure to act decisively risks condemning Lebanon to prolonged hardship and instability.

Disclaimer: The information provided herein is not official AUB information and does not necessarily represent the views of the American University of Beirut.

To cite this document: Jaafar, H. (2024, November 3). The 2024 Israeli War on Lebanon: A Devastating Blow to Agriculture and the Environment. https://sites.aub.edu.lb/aghive/2024/11/03/the-2024-israeli-war-on-lebanon-a-devastating-blow-to-agriculture-and-the-environment. American University of Beirut.